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Changes in the Level of Long-Term Unemployment in Poland in the Regional Perspective
Mariusz Zieliński
Abstract
The aim of the article is to analyze changes in the level and structure of long-term unemployment in Poland in the regional perspective in the years 2005–2015. The structure of unemployment according to the duration of unemployment is important in the context of the diminishing (due to demographic processes) labor supply, the increasing share of long-term unemployment makes it difficult to shift the unemployed to employees, which may constitute a development barrier for the economy. The hypothesis in the article is that the decrease in unemployment is accompanied by an increase in the share of long-term unemployment and a deterioration of its structure, in the form of increased participation of people with low education and in the non-mobile age. The article uses descriptive statistics based on the index method, as well as the analysis of the correlation between GDP growth, total unemployment and long-term unemployment. The data published by the Central Statistical Office in Statistical Yearbooks of the Regions-Poland was used for the analysis. The results of the study allowed a positive verification of the hypothesis of an increase in the share of long-term unemployment and a deterioration of its structure in the form of an increase in the proportion of people in the non-mobile age. Part of the hypothesis about the deterioration of the structure of long-term unemployment in the form of increased participation of people with low education was not confirmed.
Keywords:
long-term unemployment, long-term unemployment structure, regional labor market, hysteresis effectMost read articles by the same author(s)
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