Niepewność respondenta w badaniach nastrojów gospodarczych

Mieczysław Kowerski

doi:10.56583/br.1402

Published : 2010-02-01

No. 4 (18) (2009)

The Respondents’ Uncertainty in Economic Sentiment Surveys

Mieczysław Kowerski

DOI: https://doi.org/10.56583/br.1402

Abstract

The paper is the analysis of the distribution of answers “difficult to answer” which have been gathered during the economic sentiment surveys of the Podlaskie region in the first three quarters of 2009. Applied statistical tests and linear and quadratic logit models helped to verify positively the series of hypotheses and to determine the factors which influenced respondents’ uncertainty. It has been proved that the respondents’ uncertainty grows together with the decreasing of his/her educational level and the household income. Less certain in the formulation of answers are unemployed. The respondents’ certainty (the probability of unambiguous answer) is increasing to his/her 50’s, but after reaching this age, decreases again. The research shows that the respondents’ certainty in the Podlaskie region has decreased from quarter to quarter which could be the result of recession.

Keywords:

economic sentiment surveys, Podlaskie region, “difficult to answer” option in questionnaire, t-test of structure indicator, linear and quadratic logit models

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Kowerski, M. (2010). The Respondents’ Uncertainty in Economic Sentiment Surveys. Regional Barometer. Analyses & Prognoses, (4 (18), 27–45. https://doi.org/10.56583/br.1402

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